In contrast to the relatively amicable Ma Ying-jeou (KMT) era (2008-16), cross-strait relations have chilled considerably since Tsai Ing-wen of the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party) came to power in Taiwan in 2016. Despite Tsai’s vow to maintain the status quo, China has criticized her for failing to accept the so-called 1992 Consensus – an agreement to disagree reached between the two sides’ semi-official exchange bodies in 1992 – and has increased political, military, and diplomatic pressure against Taiwan. New dynamics emanating from Beijing, Taipei, and Washington promise to make 2019-20 a challenging time, requiring prudent restraint and vigilant management.

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