Asan Korea Perspective

ROK-Japan-China Trilateral Summit

On May 9, President Moon Jae-in met with Japanese Prime Minister Abe and Chinese Premier of the State Council Minister Li Keqiang for a trilateral summit in Japan.[1] Moon also held separate bilateral meetings with his counterparts. Moon and Abe confirmed their position on DPRK’s complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization (CVID). Japan also demanded South Korea’s support for the Japanese abductee issue.[2] China and Japan expressed their support for the Panmunjom Declaration and the three countries adopted the Joint Declaration of the Seventh Japan-China-ROK Trilateral Summit.[3] Interestingly, there was no mention of “complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization” in the joint declaration. Observers believe that this showed a fundamental disagreement among three countries over North Korea’s nuclear issue.[4]

North Korea Threatens No Summit in June

North Korea abruptly delayed a high-level meeting which was scheduled for May 16. The meeting was initially proposed by North Korea, but Pyongyang canceled the meeting citing US-ROK joint military exercise and Tae Young Ho’s statement in the press.[5] Furthermore, North Korea threatened to cancel the scheduled summit with the US. It is worth noting that North Korea recently released three US detainees as a gesture of goodwill.

The South Korean Ministry of Unification issued a statement expressing regret over the recent moves by North Korea.[6] The Ministry of Defense said that the military exercise will continue as planned.[7]

Many in South Korea are not surprised by the change in North Korea’s attitude. The LKP and Bareun Party warned against depending too much on North Korea and urged others to avoid playing into North Korea’s tactics.[8] Experts believe that it is part of North Korea’s strategy to pressure the US and South Korea ahead of the US-DPRK summit.[9] The South Korean public generally agree that denuclearization is non-negotiable. The Ministry of Unification announced that it has organized a task force to prepare for inter-Korean cooperation in line with the Panmunjom Declaration.[10]

Druking Scandal and Supplementary Budget

The National Assembly agreed to conduct a special investigation into the Druking scandal and work on passing the Supplementary Budget.[11] However, the political parties remain divided over the details of the investigation.

Key Issues in Special Investigation[12]

Parties TDP LKP
Issues Exclude President Moon and Assembly Member Kim Kyung-soo No exclusion
Period of Investigation Max 55 days Max 65 days
Size of Staff Max 43 investigative staff Max 65 persons

The two sides are also split on the supplementary budget. The Standing Committee is currently reviewing the supplementary budget but observers are skeptical about reaching a consensus. The main opposition party is demanding a significant reduction in the supplementary budget citing 8 major problems.

Fiscal Policy

During the 7th Economic Ministerial Meeting on May 17, The Ministry of Strategy and Finance (MST) announced that it planned to improve transparency on South Korea’s foreign exchange policy by releasing periodic reports on the government’s foreign exchange operations. The latest move appears to be a response to the United States categorizing South Korea as a currency manipulating country.[13]

FSC Investigation into Samsung BioLogics

The Financial Services Commission (FSC) announced the creation of a third-party board of supervisors to lead an independent investigation into Samsung BioLogics. The nine board members comprise of both civilian and civil servant experts. Samsung BioLogics was accused of inflating share prices in 2015 to record stronger performance.[14] An investigation by the Hankyoreh, however, pointed to a link between five of the nine board members and Samsung BioLogics, raising questions about integrity.[15]

Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy MOU with GM

Putting an end to what has been weeks of labor unrest and hearings, the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy (MOTIE) signed a memorandum of understanding with GM. The terms of the MOU involved restructuring Korea GM and reinvestment by GM (USD 6.4bn). Korea Development Bank’s investment has been rescaled by USD 75mn. GM said that it would move its Asia-Pacific headquarters to South Korea from Singapore and expand Korea GM operations. Among the changes will include the production of intermediary parts in South Korea as well as R&D of electric vehicles.[16]

 

Education Committee Proposes to Shut Down the Ministry of Education

The Education, Culture, Sports, and Tourism Committee of the National Assembly submitted a bill on May 11 calling for the closure of the Ministry of Education. Yoo Sung-yeop, who heads the committee, said that it was a move to reform the education system entirely by replacing the central education policy-making body with a National Education Commission. Assembly Member Yoo said that the functions of Ministry of Education were administratively and politically ensnared, making the whole policy process inefficient. As an alternative, the Committee proposed the formation of an autonomous Commission, which will allow educational institutions, civil society groups, and parents to formulate South Korean education system.[17]

Unemployment

 On May 16, the government released its marginal unemployment figures for April at +123,000. For the first time since 2010, the South Korean unemployment numbers have remained in hundred thousand for three consecutive months.[18]

Unemployment in South Korea, Mar 2017 ~ Apr 2018

Fig185211

Youth unemployment continues to be an economic challenge for the country with only 42% of the people between 15-29 years-old in employment.[19]

The South Korean government has been experimenting with different ways to encourage growth in the labor market, such as raising minimum wages. Kim Dong-yeon, the Deputy Prime Minister for Economic Affairs, reversed his once-skeptical outlook on the effectiveness of these measures. He said that while the numbers may not yet show much impact, measures like minimum wage will positively influence both wage and employment.[20]

[1] “文대통령, 한중일 정상회의 참석차 출국…일본 첫 방문”, 동아일보, 2018년 5월 9일.

[2] “아베 “CVID 달성 전 北에 대가 없다는 데 문 대통령과 완전 일치””, 중앙일보, 2018년 5월 11일.

[3] “[전문] 한중일 정상회의 공동선언문”, 연합뉴스, 2018년 5월 10일.

[4] “‘CVID 빠진’ 한중일 선언, 북중밀월 속 ‘완전한 비핵화’ 봉합”, 동아일보, 2018년 5월 9일.

[5] “北, 맥스선더·태영호 트집잡으며 고위급회담 한밤 취소”, 조선일보, 2018년 5월 17일.

[6] “[속보]정부 “북측 고위급회담 일방 연기 유감, 조속히 회담에 응해야’”, 경향신문, 2018년 5월 16일.

[7] “국방부 “맥스선더 훈련 계획대로 진행””, 중앙일보, 2018년 5월 16일.

[8] “與, 北의 회담 일방 취소에도 “오해말자”, 조선일보, 2018년 5월 17일.

[9] “[사설] 담판 前 기 싸움 나선 北, ‘核 폐기’는 흔들릴 수 없다”, 조선일보, 2018년 5월 17일.

[10] “통일부 “6·15 남북공동행사 TF구성···행사안 내부 논의 중””, 중앙일보, 2018년 5월 17일.

[11] “여야 국회 정상화 극적 합의…김경수 등 사퇴서 처리”, 한겨레, 2018년 5월 14일.

[12] “與 “특검 규모 줄여야” vs 野 “추경 절반 깎아야””, 매일경제, 2018년 5월 18일.

[13] “정부, 외환시장 개입내역 공개…순거래 대상·반기별로”, 경향신문, 2018년 5월 17일.

[14] “’제3자 전문가 의견 청취’, 금융위 ‘삼바 小委’ 열기로”, 동아일보, 2018년 5월 14일.

[15] “[단독] 금융위 감리위원 9명 중 5명, ‘삼성바이오와 직간접 인연’”, 한겨례, 2018년 5월 16일.

[16] “GM 아태본부 한국 옮긴다…10년 먹튀 방지책도 마련”, 중앙일보, 2018년 5월 10일.

[17] “’노답 교육부’…‘교육부 폐지’ 법안 국회서 발의”, 조선일보, 2018년 5월 11일.

[18] “4월 취업자 늘었지만…3개월째 10만명대 ‘금융위기 이후 처음’”, 중앙일보, 2018년 5월 16일.

[19] “2018년 3월 고용동향”, 통계청, 2018년 4월 11일. Available at: [http://kostat.go.kr/portal/korea/kor_nw/2/1/index.board?bmode=read&bSeq=&aSeq=367078&pageNo=1&rowNum=10&navCount=10&currPg=&sTarget=title&sTxt=].

[20] “김동연 ‘최저임금, 고용에 영향’”, 동아일보, 2018년 5월 17일.

 

Contributing Staff: Kim Seonkyung, Lee Soo-hyun

Editor: J. James Kim