Asan Plenum

Session: Session 2 / Grand Ballroom I
Date/Time: April 30, 2013 / 17:00-18:15

Panel Description

As the Syrian civil war enters its second year, a decisive outcome continues to remain elusive. Early fears of regional spillover have been realized, with the conflict drawing in all of Syria’s neighbors and igniting a regional and sectarian struggle. Yet, the core of the Assad regime has managed to hold onto the levers of power despite being a shell of its former self. Furthermore, even as the international community stands and increasingly acts against him, President Assad has continued his brutal campaign with the backing of key allies. There is no guarantee that Assad will be deposed any time soon, and if he is, it is abundantly clear that the Syria he leaves behind will be a devastated country. Total state breakdown in Syria—a country situated at the crossroads of the region’s major powers—would have repercussions for the entire region. The future power dynamics of the Middle East are being shaped by the Syrian conflict as the case tests the international community’s standards and capabilities for intervention.

Guiding Questions

  1. 1. Why has the international community thus far been unable to end the bloodshed in Syria?
  2. 2. What it would take for outside powers to contemplate military intervention?
  3. 3. What consequences will a post-Assad Syria will have for the wider region?